Tuesday brings the 2020 election cycle to a close with twin U.S. Senate runoff elections in Georgia that will decide which party controls the chamber. In addition, there’s a runoff for a seat on Georgia’s five-member Public Service Commission. Note that due to the high volume of mail-in votes, we may not know the final outcome of these races tonight.
Resources: Results • County Benchmarks
How this for tension? With 4.3 million votes counted, the margin between David Perdue (R) and Jon Ossoff (D) lies at...384 votes.
This is awful news for Perdue, because his last tranche of votes (Coffee County in southern Georgia) has already dropped. He has nothing left. Ossoff, meanwhile, can expect to see 20,000 to 30,000 more votes in DeKalb County, another 12,000 votes in Newton County, and certainly some more out of Cobb and Fulton.
The Democrats are tantalizingly close to reclaiming the U.S. Senate.
Slight correction to the previous update: what tightened the race from about 5000 votes down to less than 400 was the block of votes out of Newton County.
Still, Ossoff can count on Cobb, DeKalb, Fulton, and also probably some outstanding votes in other blue counties that haven’t entirely reported. You would much rather be Ossoff than Perdue at this point.
While all eyes are on the Ossoff-Perdue race, because of the implications for the Senate, we simply must acknowledge the history here.
Raphael Warnock, while his race has not been called, now holds a lead of 34,600 votes over Kelly Loeffler. That lead appears insurmountable, given what votes remain outstanding.
That means, should the margin hold as we expect it to, that an unapologetically progressive African American man will represent the state of Georgia in the United States Senate. Think on that for a minute.
Here is where we stand: David Perdue’s lead is sitting at 1869 votes. But we know there are 18,000 in-person early votes left to count in DeKalb County, and Nate Cohn of the NYT asserted that those were in the predominantly African American parts of DeKalb, meaning that Ossoff could easily net about 12,000 votes or more from just that tranche of votes. Henry County may have about 6000 votes remaining, and Chatham County somewhere in the low five-digits.
What’s most important: all estimates suggest that the in-person Election Day vote is all but tallied, which was Perdue’s last and best hope. What remains is in-person early voting and vote by mail, where the Democrats hammered the GOP in November.
Source: Daily Kos
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