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Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: In the homestretch, Republicans smell the stench of defeat

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: In the homestretch, Republicans smell the stench of defeat

Where the candidates spend their time is interesting and tells us where they think the race is going.But the driving factor is the pandemic and whether to re-elect the incumbent who lies about it.

He also kidnapped children.

it's not so much that I'm a partisan it's that I favor science and the Rule of Law, which means un-electing every Republican up and down the line in November

The Chief of Staff of the President of the United States just went on live television, a week out from an election, and admitted without pause that the administration is incapable of getting the pandemic under control.

— Jared Yates Sexton (@JYSexton) October 25, 2020

It is what it is.

A few days out, the picture of this race is pretty clear: 1) Biden's lead (52%-43%) larger & more stable than Clinton's in '16 2) Far fewer undecided/third party voters than '16 3) District-level polls (which showed big problems for Clinton in '16) back up national/state polls

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 26, 2020

CBS has Biden beating Trump with Black voters 90-8. Likely means Black undecideds coming home to Dems in home stretch. Also probably means the narrative of Black men breaking hard for Trump was super exaggerated, like plenty of other narratives #onhere 🤷🏾‍♂️ https://t.co/QzpwwETNty

— Marcus H. Johnson (@marcushjohnson) October 25, 2020

NY Times:

Why Trump Can’t Take Red Counties in North Carolina for Granted

Even some people in Gastonia, N.C., are a little perplexed about why the president was holding a rally in a small community that’s already in his camp.

In this final sprint of the campaign, Mr. Trump is now holding up to three rallies a day to try to “juice” his base, in the words of advisers, as he bleeds support among the suburban voters who helped fuel his victory in 2016. His trip to this bedrock Trump county, and to Wisconsin and Ohio suburbs and exurbs on Saturday where his once-solid support is sliding, reflect his need to energize as much of his base as he can since many swing voters are now behind former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and there are few undecided voters left.

Demographic breakdown of registered voters in the Dallas Morning News/UT Tyler Texas poll: Hispanic voters Biden: 67% Trump: 20% Black voters Biden: 79% Trump: 5% White voters Biden: 31% Trump: 62% Independents Biden: 49% Trump: 27%

— Emma Kinery (@EmmaKinery) October 25, 2020

NH Union Leader:

Our choice is Joe Biden*

* While Joe Biden is the clear choice for president, it would be a disservice to the country to send him to the White House without a backstop. We suggest splitting the ballot and electing a healthy dose of GOP senators and representatives. The best governance often comes through compromise. The civility of the Biden administration will help foster such compromise, but a blue wave would be nearly as disastrous for this country as four more years of Trump. It would result in a quagmire of big government programs that will take decades to overcome.

“The paper’s editorial board, which supported only Republicans for over a century until endorsing Libertarian Gary Johnson in 2016” says Forbes. In other words, not in a hundred years...

Rep. Denver Riggleman (R) on MTP re: Qanon : ‘these are people who think Lord of the Rings is a documentary’

— amy walter (@amyewalter) October 25, 2020

Alex Isenstadt/Politico:

Paranoia and finger-pointing in Trumpworld as election approaches

Accusations are flying in all directions and about all manner of topics.

President Donald Trump’s top advisers have plunged into a bitter round of finger-pointing and blame-shifting ahead of an increasingly likely defeat.

#Breaking: Donald Trump just attacked American Doctors and said they are fabricating the Covid-19 death count for money. There’s no bottom. pic.twitter.com/GBlfsjz4Kt

— Republicans for Joe Biden 🇺🇸 (@RepsForBiden) October 25, 2020

Politico:

Scarred Democrats begin accepting a possible Biden win

“Every time I get too happy I slap myself and stick my hand over a fire.”

That’s not to say feeling upbeat comes naturally to Democrats. Or as Missouri Democratic Rep. Emanuel Cleaver put it: “Every time I get too happy I slap myself and stick my hand over a fire.”

“I’m a nervous ninny,” Cleaver added. “I read the polls … but I’m scared to feel like we’re going to win because we’ve seen what happened in 2016.”

Sure enough, Democrats’ talking points are filled with bromides about taking nothing for granted and working all the way through Election Day, after Trump’s shocking win across just enough swing states to take the Electoral College four years ago. But beneath the surface, there’s growing confidence among key Democrats that things are actually going to go their way this time.

Forest, trees, etc: Biden camp pushing into Texas Trump going to Nebraska, in part to save Iowa, where he won by NINE last time 🌊

— Peter Hamby (@PeterHamby) October 25, 2020

NBC:

In the homestretch, signs Trump's hard-sell seniors pitch may be falling short

“I can’t do it this time," one older voter who backed the president's first run in 2016 told NBC News. "I’m just sick of all of his s---."

Polling this year has shown an increasing number of older people abandoning Trump, in part due to that brand of pandemic messaging. An October NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll showed that trend accelerating: Trump was hemorrhaging support among registered senior voters, with 62 percent supporting Biden and only 35 percent supporting the president.

Would make a great bumper sticker.

David A. Graham/Atlantic:

It’s All About the Investigation

Trump is betting his reelection on ginning up another investigation—the same demand that got him impeached.

For days, the Trump campaign has hyped a coming scoop from The Wall Street Journal about Hunter Biden, the son of the Democratic presidential candidate, Joe Biden. Last night, the story finally arrived. Actually, it was two articles. First, there was a column by the Trump-friendly opinion writer Kimberley Strassel, which was heavy on innuendo, but otherwise caveated into opacity. Later in the evening, the Journal’s news side published a story that was clearer and less juicy.

The upshot of the reports, insofar as there is one, is that a disgruntled former business partner of Hunter Biden’s alleges that Biden tried to cut his father, the former vice president, into lucrative deals. The claim seems to rest almost entirely on an email that reads,“10 held by H for the big guy?,” which the business partner says refers to Joe Biden. The Biden campaign says he was never involved, as does another business partner, and the news article reported, “Corporate records reviewed by The Wall Street Journal show no role for Joe Biden.” And the Fox News reporter Jacqui Heinrich searched the emails and poured cold water on the claims.

Sending Pence out to campaign while his Chief of Staff tests positive is like saying to supporters: "Come play Russian Roulette!" Might be some very uncomfortable Republicans up on stage with the Veep...perhaps not the October Surprise the campaign was hoping for.

— Jeff Greenfield (@greenfield64) October 25, 2020

A good piece here:

Great stuff. Inside the Trump team’s bungled effort to get a damaging story in the WSj https://t.co/wKUZ25gI2l

— carolynryan (@carolynryan) October 25, 2020

And let’s finish with this:

According to @ElectProject, 57.4M people have already voted - 41.7% of the total vote from 2016. In the 19 states that report party affiliation, Ds are outvoting Rs 49-27%.

— (((Greg Siskind))) (@gsiskind) October 25, 2020

Source: Daily Kos

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